Forecast-Simple forecasting methods
PROBLEM DEFINITION Primary objective of the analysis is to find the future sales of a product, so accordingly the inventory of product is managed according to future demand. Data: For confidentiality purposes the name of the product is not revealed. Sales Data set provider : Agri Village Products(M) SDN BHD Software’s used for analysis: R, Excel FORECAST(ETS) Calculates or predicts a future value based on existing (historical) values by using the AAA version of the Exponential Smoothing ( ETS ) algorithm. The predicted value is a continuation of the historical values in the specified target date, which should be a continuation of the timeline. NAIVE FORECASTING Estimating technique in which the last period's actuals are used as this period's forecast , without adjusting them or attempting to establish causal factors. It is used only for comparison with the forecasts generated by the better (sophisticated) techniques. ...